Is the resignation of Medvedev. Resignation of Medvedev depends on Putin's rating

Correspondent Maksim Shevchenko is convinced that the vast majority of Russians at the moment are in favor of Dmitry Medvedev's resignation.

Simply because this person has proved that he will never act in the interests of the people.

In principle, they knew about it and so, but the pension reform has consolidated this worldview, perhaps, forever. The indicator of Medvedev's trust is 7%, which directly states: he does not trust Medvedev.

Will Medvedev Resign?

Of course, Medvedev himself does not intend to resign, but at the same time it should be noted that the media activity of this person has decreased significantly. The press secretary left him, and the newest press secretary proposed to socially reduce media activity.

That is, of course, Dmitry Medvedev is not considered a spokesman for public interests, and therefore, in practice, he is only a man of destiny, who has almost the right to determine the future of the Russian Federation.

Moreover, in this regard, Medvedev does not have any success.

Not one. That is, of course, there are practically people ( a social being with reason and consciousness, as well as a subject of socio-historical activity and culture) want the government to be headed by someone who, of course, thinks a little about the development of the Russian Federation and about state interests.

Medvedev's results

If we want to realize the effectiveness of Medvedev, then we must examine specifically the projects for which Medvedev was responsible. Let's start with the innovations.

This was the main motto during Medvedev's presidency. What are the results of the campaign for the development of innovations in the Russian Federation? And the results are as follows: Skolkovo and Rusnano appeared. Two structures, which are completely unprofitable for the Russian Federation, where they send "exiled" government bureaucrats. For example, Chubais or Dvorkovich.

Of course, you can also remember the May decrees. Though the past, even today. Medvedev takes on the task of "improving people's lives", but it turns out just like Chernomyrdin's: "they wanted the best - it turned out as always."

Why do you need such a person at the head of the government, especially if he has substantiated personal inefficiency in practice? The logical conclusions lead to the fact that resignation of Medvedev - rational decision.

Alas, in this case it does not work, simply because the work is determined by the president's personal attitude to this or that person, and not the efficiency of his work.

In our country, alas, ignorant people are often responsible for certain areas to which they have never had a relationship.

Medvedev, a connoisseur of Roman law, is for the government of the Russian Federation, and the correspondent Rogozin is outright for the entire galactic sphere.

The story of the illness of Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev last week became, perhaps, the most discussed topic on the Web. The forecast of the imminent resignation of the head of the Cabinet was born with lightning speed, as, in fact, the protests, with a corresponding demand. But the people's activity did not end there either: a link to the computer game "Petition for the resignation of Medvedev - 2017" began to spread through various forums. Who is eager to leave the prime minister and who is predicted to take his place - in the material "FederalPress".

"Medvedev owes superpopularity to Navalny, Putin and the flu"

The Russians learned about the illness of Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev from President Vladimir Putin on March 14, during a meeting of the head of state with ministers. Putin's words that "Dmitry Anatolyevich was not saved" spread on the Internet at lightning speed. On that day, Medvedev was not present not only at the meeting of the President with the Cabinet of Ministers, but for the first time this year he missed the visiting session of the United Russia faction, at which topical issues of the agro-industrial complex were discussed.

Dmitry Medvedev's illness, however, was short-lived - on March 15, he appeared at the White House and even met with Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan.

For Internet users, the return of the prime minister the next day after the announcement of the illness only became another reason for discussion - suspiciously quickly, the head of the cabinet managed to cure the flu. A photo of coffeebarberry on Instagram, taken in Krasnaya Polyana, allegedly on March 10, that is, before Medvedev's illness, added fuel to the fire. Few believed in this date. Reasonable questions that immediately arose from users: why did not this picture appear on the social network on the same day, but waited in the wings for almost a week, and how did the prime minister manage to overcome the flu in 3-4 days?

Thus, Dmitry Medvedev's illness and the fact that it was publicly announced not even by the prime minister's press secretary, but by the country's president personally, only intensified the talk about the impending resignation, which began after the publication of a film about Medvedev's property by opposition leader Alexei Navalny. Some even joked: Navalny, Putin and the flu made Medvedev super popular.

This March is likely to be remembered by the Russian prime minister with a new wave of rumors and protests for his resignation. Suffice it to recall the events of March 6 in St. Petersburg, where about 70 people took part in a popular gathering organized by the youth democratic movement "Vesna". The action was just a response to the investigation of the Navalny fund.

Last weekend, rallies for the resignation of the government led by Dmitry Medvedev were held in Russian cities. In Birobidzhan, the communists accused Medvedev of "social plagues", the collapse of housing and communal services and agriculture, industry and the transport system. In Ulyanovsk, the communists also came out to the rally, who also demanded the resignation of the president, but the slogans were not much different from the slogans of their party colleagues from the Jewish Autonomous Region.

On various forums these days, a link to the computer game "Petition for the resignation of Medvedev 2017" began to spread. True, it did not arouse mass interest.

So should we wait for resignation?

His opponents demand the resignation of Dmitry Medvedev almost exactly as much as he is at the head of the Cabinet. These demands result in protest rallies and petitions of all kinds. In September last year, FederalPress, as part of the Wind of Change special project, was about another wave of popular discontent with the Prime Minister. Then, just a few days before the State Duma elections, experts were skeptical about the likelihood of Medvedev's resignation.

And today, despite the exposing publications of Alexei Navalny, experts basically hold the same opinion - Medvedev is not in danger. “In late 2016 - early 2017, Dmitry Medvedev's positions were strengthened,” says a leading analyst at the Agency for Political and Economic Communications. Mikhail Neyzhmakov... - Yes, and information attacks do not lead against a person who is about to leave the post. Therefore, the incumbent prime minister has good chances to work at his current post at least until the eve of the presidential elections. "

The immediate future of Medvedev, according to Neyzhmakov, depends on the strategic tasks that Vladimir Putin will define for himself during his new presidential term.

In addition, “the prime minister in the Russian political system has long been not the main“ lightning rod ”(as is often the case in presidential republics, say, in France),” the expert noted. And therefore, "unpopular measures in public opinion are associated with specific ministers, and not with the head of government."

Director of the Institute of Political Sociology Vyacheslav Smirnov generally believes that "Medvedev will remain for a long time." “It is advisable or not advisable to change the prime minister before the presidential elections. And after the presidential, why change? The president has already received his 65-75 percent, and who will be the prime minister is no longer so important, ”the political scientist explains his position.

According to the director of the Center for the Development of Regional Policy Ilya Grashchenkov"Medvedev may remain in office until such time as his departure becomes a necessary step to preserve the power of Putin himself." “He is a loyal ally of the president, he has proven his loyalty,” the expert explains. - He even proved its effectiveness, because under his leadership, the United Russia party won the elections to the State Duma in 2016. He created his own powerful clan, which includes up to 30% of Russian governors. It influences the largest FIGs, such as Gazprom.

Considering all this, the political scientist Roman Kolesnikovbelieves that "the story of Dmitry Anatolyevich's absence at two important meetings should not obscure the eyes with the expectation of resignation."

Sobyanin - first on the list

At the same time, experts do not undertake to completely deny the possibility of changing the prime minister. Today, as a rule, there are four names in the media: among the possible replacements of Dmitry Medvedev are named ex-Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, Deputy Prime Minister - Presidential Envoy to the Far Eastern Federal District Yuri Trutnev, and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu.

Many experts, in particular Mikhail Neyzhmakov, are of the opinion that "the appointment of an open supporter of unpopular economic reforms, Alexei Kudrin, is unlikely." This is unlikely to happen even after the presidential elections.

Ilya Grashchenkov believes that "Aleksey Kudrin, with all his desire to take this post, has only lost political weight in recent years." At the same time, the political scientist does not exclude that given a rather difficult situation in the country, "Medvedev may be allowed to leave" on takeoff, "while Kudrin will have a difficult task, the failure of which may be blamed on him." “As a matter of fact, Kudrin is not much different from Medvedev ideologically - it will only be an apparatus change of leadership, plus a tightening of the financial sector in terms of taxes and fees. But this is not [presidential adviser Sergei] Glazyev, nor is it an alternative concept of state development, not the Juche idea, "Grashchenkov said.

The option of raising the current Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu to the level of Prime Minister, according to political scientist Ilya Grashchenkov, is not relevant. “Most likely, it could be considered on condition that Russia finds itself in a state of isolation and a cold war with the West, when a strong and authoritative leader should lead the government. But in this case, Shoigu will become a direct competitor to Putin himself, I think both understand this, ”Grashchenkov said.

However, the most likely candidate for prime minister is the mayor of Moscow Sergei Sobyanin. Several political analysts told FederalPress about this. Roman Kolesnikov explains his position by the fact that Sobyanin is the most “experienced and successful business executive. “In addition, Sobyanin has significant apparatus weight for the prime minister’s appointment. In the latest ranking of governors' influence, he confidently ranks first. He worked as the head of the Presidential Administration and the head of the government apparatus, ”the expert recalled.

By the way, the option of appointing Sobyanin of the course of events is quite possible: the capital's mayor's term of office will just expire in 2018. And after the presidential elections, Vladimir Putin may well offer him not to go to the mayoral elections, but to head the country's government. At the same time, according to political scientist Ilya Grashchenkov, Sobyanin's closeness to Medvedev "speaks of the possible continuity of the course."

Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev is so unpopular with the people that rumors about his resignation are constantly circulating on social networks and "yellow" media. But will Medvedev really resign or will he be sent there soon?

Resignation of Medvedev - the dream of many after "no money"

During his time in power, at best, they laughed at Medvedev, recalling his communication with Schwarzenegger, his love for iPhones and dancing. However, the attitude towards him worsened with each new initiative of the government, since Medvedev, as the head of the government, bears personal responsibility for each of them.

Then came the famous “no money, but you hold on” and Navalny's film that made a splash. Indeed, it was as if Medvedev was deliberately turned into an object of ridicule, into a sponge for absorbing the hatred of the population, the evil counterpart of the "good" Putin.

In recent days, rumors have been circulating that Medvedev fled the country along with the head of the Central Bank Nabiullina. However, he soon returned.

The peak of speculation about Medvedev's possible resignation came during the election period and immediately after, when the candidacy of the new prime minister had not yet been announced. The old government resigned to the newly elected Putin. Medvedev himself signed a corresponding decree on the resignation of his powers, his deputies and federal ministers.

However, the newly elected president soon convened the government in the same composition, making only some cosmetic changes. Medvedev himself remained at the head of the government. Thus, the president showed goodwill to all his former entourage.

Resignation of Medvedev depends on Putin's rating

But this does not mean at all that Prime Minister Medvedev's position is solid. Perhaps he, like a festive duck, is reserved in order to be "slaughtered" at the right time. We are about the fact that Putin's rating has been steadily falling since the weakening of the "Crimean euphoria" and will continue to fall. In the face of massive dissatisfaction with the pension reform, Putin was forced to take it under his personal protection, that is, he took responsibility for raising the retirement age. There is no doubt that the government has prepared a lot of reforms to “cut the social sector” and burden the lower classes with various extortions.

If the degree of social boil reaches a dangerous level, for example, leads to massive unauthorized rallies in Moscow and the Provinces or to street riots, then the authorities can "sacrifice" Medvedev, demonstratively dismissing him and retroactively appointing the director of some state corporation, like this once we did it with Kirienko.

This will allow, as it were, to nullify the sins of the government, writing them all down to the demoted prime minister, and again raise the rating of "tough and principled" Putin. Until new unpopular reforms. But if such a critical moment does not come, then the government will not have to sacrifice its prime minister.

A series of polls in the capital showed that Muscovites do not support Prime Minister Medvedev, they believe it is time for him to leave, but they do not believe that the "sleeping prime minister" will be dismissed.

Dmitry Medvedev became the most discussed Russian politician of the last month. First, it was dismantled for parts in an anti-corruption investigation, then it did not appear at a meeting between the president and the government on March 14. Then Vladimir Putin explained Medvedev's absence by the flu, and on March 23, Dmitry Anatolyevich himself, at a meeting with entrepreneurs, suddenly denied his illness, saying: “And I was not sick " ... To check how all these events influenced the attitude of the population towards the second person in the state, activists conducted a series of polls on the streets of Moscow and on the Internet.

Awaiting resignation

The poll showed that 88% of readers do not support the activities of the prime minister and insist on resignation. Most likely, such a high percentage is associated not only with the ineffective activities of Medvedev and the government, but also with the previously publishedinvestigation of luxury real estate , which, through the intermediary of various funds, belongs to Dmitry Medvedev.

There will be no resignation

But you shouldn't hope for resignation - such a conclusion can be drawn from the resultsanother survey .

Only 40% of respondents are sure that Dmitry Medvedev will be "asked" to vacate his seat in the near future. The majority (54%) are convinced that the prime minister will remain in his place.

Citizens are afraid to openly criticize Prime Minister Medvedev

Activists took to the streets of Moscow to hear the opinions of ordinary people. Those who are ready to openly speak out for the resignation of the prime minister turned out to be 2 times less.

People are outraged by the irresponsibility and lack of initiative of the second person of the state.

“Medvedev says a lot, but he doesn't. At his level, "Vova" seems completely different - a cut above. Therefore, I am for Medvedev's resignation ",- the 48-year-old worker impulsively shared his opinion George. "I am a working pensioner, and Medvedev did not index my pension," outraged gray-haired Vitaly Alexandrovich. "Medvedev is primarily responsible for the economic crisis,"- turning around, the girl throws the phrase Hope.

Yelena, a 38-year-old Muscovite, believes that Medved's main weakness is that he will never be perceived as an independent politician. “This is a puppet figure, and someone is sitting and leading behind him. Therefore, Medvedev takes the place that a more proactive and active person could have, ”- shared her opinion Elena.

Let the swamp, but its own

Often, the reason for the desire of Muscovites to maintain the current status quo is simply the fear of change or the belief that nothing will change, regardless of who takes Medvedev's place.

“I'm afraid of changes,” one of the Muscovites expressed a phobia. “All the same, everything will be the same. Then you have to change everyone. It makes no sense to change Medvedev alone, ”- unexpectedly and revolutionary, but in a calm tone, a woman of age declares. “It won't be better! In our century we have seen many, each sweeping in his own way, ”says another opponent of resignation, the janitor Maria Sergeevna.

Researcher shook society

A film about the prime minister's corruption schemes undermined Medvedev's image, primarily in the eyes of the "liberal public," showing that the prime minister is not as clean as many thought of him. Moreover, the concept “The general public” is rather arbitrary, since the film was watched by only 10 million people, which is not much on a national scale.

The expert does not expect Medvedev's resignation, because this is only Vladimir Putin's decision, "and Putin never makes a decision under someone's pressure."

Earlier, public figures and politicians were in favor of investigating the traces of the data collected by FBK. So dstate Duma deputy from the Communist Party Valery Rashkin sent request Chairman of the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation Alexander Bastrykin, the Prosecutor General of the Russian Federation Yuri Chaika, to the heads of the Ministry of Internal Affairs and the FSB with the requirement to check the information about the real estate of Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev. The parliamentarian announced this in his

One of the obligatory consequences of the presidential elections in 2018 and the assumption of a new term in May was the dissolution of the previous composition of the Russian government. Such a requirement is contained in the country's constitution, and the government could not but be dissolved. At the moment, the composition of the new government is being formed, and so far only those who will have to occupy the highest posts in the cabinet of ministers are known. In particular, it came as a surprise to some that Dmitry Medvedev, who has held this post since 2012, is again becoming prime minister. There really isn't much of a surprise, though. Why was Dmitry Medvedev not dismissed from the post of prime minister after the elections, as many Russians wanted, what are the possible reasons for this decision by the president?

The decision on who will become the prime minister in Russia is made by the president

The first and foremost thing that we must clearly understand when discussing why Prime Minister Medvedev was not dismissed - the decision on the candidacy of the head of government is made by the president of the country, and he has his own considerations on this score.

At the moment when President Putin decides whether to keep Dmitry Medvedev as prime minister, he least of all thinks about what opinion ordinary Russians have on this matter.

Of course, we can't get into the president's head to find out all the reasons why Medvedev is the best option for him as prime minister. Nevertheless, some of the reasons are quite understandable, including those who personally know the president, have been observing him for a long time and have an idea of \u200b\u200bhis train of thought.

The first reason is that the prime minister could potentially become acting. the president

According to the Russian constitution, it is the chairman of the government who is the second person in the state and the person who, in certain cases, can become the acting head of state.

Recall that in the first months of 2000, Vladimir Putin himself was acting. President when his political father Boris Yeltsin resigned.

On the one hand, there seems to be no reason to think about, for example, such things as a serious illness, the need to transfer power during the operation, etc. On the other hand, no one is insured against anything, including some kind of emergency. And it is desirable for the current president to be replaced by a person whom he fully trusts in some extreme situation.

The second reason is gratitude for 2008-2012.

No matter how they treat Medvedev's rule as president in 2008-2012. his ill-wishers, and even President Putin himself, is important for the current head of state that Medvedev, having formally received a higher post, remained then completely loyal to him. And most importantly, in 2012, he unquestioningly passed the top post back, burying his political ambitions. And he did this despite some support in the elite, some of whom wanted a second term for Medvedev.

Of course, President Putin remembers well and appreciates the personal loyalty demonstrated by his longtime Petersburg comrade Medvedev.

And this reason is inextricably linked with the first - the second person in the country remains not only the person whom the president trusts, but also a trusted person.

Reason three - Medvedev is an excellent lightning rod

Dmitry Medvedev, as prime minister, is an excellent lightning rod for popular discontent with the falling standard of living. While in fact the head of state is responsible for this, including who did a lot to ensure that the country fell under the sanctions of the developed countries of the world, and respect and trust in Russia in the world dropped to a low point, inside the country he is thanks to the same actions looks like a hero.

At the same time, people rarely associate the direct consequences of Vladimir Putin's heroic steps in the foreign arena with his name. The head of the Cabinet is to blame for their consciousness.

It's a pretty straightforward move, but it worked at all times and continues to work today. Medvedev's slightly ridiculous and slightly rustic image makes him an excellent performer of this role.

The fourth reason - Medvedev must stay, because many demand his resignation

In the spring of 2017, the person of Dmitry Medvedev was in the spotlight of many millions of Russians, and thousands of people demanded his resignation on the street, participating in rallies across the country. The reason for this was a large investigation published by Alexey Navalny at the beginning of the year. In that investigation, the main critic of the Russian government accused Medvedev of massive corruption and grandiose bribes, which the head of the Cabinet of Ministers allegedly received through sham funds.

It is known that President Putin fundamentally “does not give in to pressure” and does not do anything at someone's request. And accusations such as those leveled against Medvedev strengthen the position of any official, whoever he is. If Navalny's investigation had not happened, Medvedev would have to invent it himself to strengthen his position in the elite.

Reason five - real power in the country remains with the president

And this is an important reason. From the point of view of the policy pursued by the Russian government inside the country and abroad, it does not matter who is the prime minister. Nothing will change from this.

Even if we forget that the ministers of power governments are directly subordinate to the President of Russia, it is worth noting that economic meetings of government members are always held with the participation of Putin. The government in Russia is not quite an independent body, and the head of the cabinet is required, first of all, to have personal loyalty to the president, and only then - professionalism.

The question of who will be the prime minister after the elections was not raised during the elections. Three quarters of the Russians who voted supported Vladimir Putin's candidacy, without asking any questions about what he would do in the coming years. Thus, they upfront supported all his decisions, including those concerning personnel appointments. So, these people should not be surprised why Medvedev was not dismissed after the elections.